NavyLCDR - I've been hearing this "printing or open carry makes you a target" theory for a while too. I agree that in most cases it is BS, and I'm glad you posted some numbers.
However, I want to add in my $0.02 worth on this, to point out some specific instances when open carry would be a bad thing:
1) If you are in a bank that is about to be robbed by "professional" bank robbers (ie ones who have done so before, work as a team, have planned it out, etc) ... these are the kinds of criminals who would not be deterred by a citizen with a firearm. And in this case - you're targeted for being shot or being disarmed, right along with the bank security guard.
2) In certain rough urban areas, gang members and "wanna-bes" will ABSOLUTELY target you if they know you have a firearm. Sometimes it's because they want the firearm, sometimes it's because you're a "big man showing disrespect on their turf." I know a guy in Philadelphia who wants to open carry to assert his right (in light of legal open carriers being hassled recently by police) - but he absolutely will not do so, precisely because he lives in a bad area and knows what will result.
Just some food for thought. I really can see both sides of this particular argument.
I think that the chances of that happening are pretty small. To me, that would be like not walking on the sidewalk next to a multi-story building for fear of a piano or flower pot falling on one's head. Also, in the heat and confusion of that situation, partial concealment of the gun by tightly pressing my elbow against it, I think, would keep the gun from being noticed. I think it would be much more likely for the bad guys to notice the movement of a person attempting to draw a gun from concealment.
I think there are much easier ways for gangs to obtain firearms than to attack the armed person just to gain it. HOWEVER, I do believe the ego affect is a major consideration (and it really doesn't matter what the motivation behind the attack is.) I personally would not open carry in an area I knew to be a high gang area for that exact reason...actually, I would not be in that area to begin with unless I absolutely had to be. Situational awareness and avoiding a possible criminal situation is still the best defense against a criminal action.