Nuclear or Bioterror Attack on U.S. Likely by 2013, Panel Warns


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Nuclear or Bioterror Attack on U.S. Likely by 2013, Panel Warns
Tuesday, December 02, 2008

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WASHINGTON — The United States can expect a terrorist attack using nuclear or more likely biological weapons before 2013, reports a bipartisan commission in a study being briefed Tuesday to Vice President-elect Joe Biden.

It suggests the Obama administration bolster efforts to counter and prepare for germ warfare by terrorists.

"Our margin of safety is shrinking, not growing," states the report, obtained by The Associated Press. It is scheduled to be publicly released Wednesday.

The commission is also encouraging the new White House to appoint one official on the National Security Council to exclusively coordinate U.S. intelligence and foreign policy on combatting the spread of nuclear and biological weapons.

The report of the Commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism, led by former Sens. Bob Graham of Florida and Jim Talent of Tennessee, acknowledges that terrorist groups still lack the needed scientific and technical ability to make weapons out of pathogens or nuclear bombs. But it warns that gap can be easily overcome, if terrorists find scientists willing to share or sell their know-how.

"The United States should be less concerned that terrorists will become biologists and far more concerned that biologists will become terrorists," the report states.

The commission believes biological weapons are more likely to be obtained and used before nuclear or radioactive weapons because nuclear facilities are more carefully guarded. Civilian laboratories with potentially dangerous pathogens abound, however, and could easily be compromised.

"The biological threat is greater than the nuclear; the acquisition of deadly pathogens, and their weaponization and dissemination in aerosol form, would entail fewer technical hurdles than the theft or production of weapons-grade uranium or plutonium and its assembly into an improvised nuclear device," states the report.

It notes that the U.S. government's counterproliferation activities have been geared toward preventing nuclear terrorism. The commission recommends the prevention of biological terrorism be made a higher priority.

Study chairman Graham said anthrax remains the most likely biological weapon. However, he told the AP that contagious diseases — like the flu strain that killed 40 million at the beginning of the 20th century — are looming threats. That virus has been recreated in scientific labs, and there remains no inoculation to protect against it if is stolen and released.

Graham said the threat of a terrorist attack using nuclear or biological weapons is growing "not because we have not done positive things but because adversaries are moving at an even faster pace to increase their access" to those materials.

He noted last week's rampage by a small group of gunmen in Mumbai.

"If those people had had access to a biological or nuclear weapon they would have multiplied by orders of magnitude the deaths they could have inflicted," he said.

Al Qaeda remains the only terrorist group judged to be actively intent on conducting a nuclear attack against the United States, the report notes. It is not yet capable of building such a weapon and has yet to obtain one. But that could change if a nuclear weapons engineer or scientist were recruited to Al Qaeda's cause, the report warns.

The report says the potential nexus of terrorism, nuclear and biological weapons is especially acute in Pakistan.

"Were one to map terrorism and weapons of mass destruction today, all roads would intersect in Pakistan," the report states.

In fact, commission members were forced to cancel their trip to Pakistan this fall. The Islamabad Marriott Hotel that commission members were to stay in was blown up by terrorist bombs just hours before they were to check in.

"We think time is not our ally. The (United States) needs to move with a sense of urgency," Graham said.

Not sure how credible this is, but in the wake of 9/11, while our intelligence services have to be correct 100% of the time to stop an attack, the terrorists only have to be right one time to achieve their goal. Downgrading our defense system is one of the things that concerns me most about an Obama presidency. His tendency to want dialogue instead of state of the art intelligence and defense systems is frightening in an age in which the enemy will kill itself to kill scores of Americans. Furthermore, as commander chief of the military, Obama could very well decide to have more diplomats at the expense of military strength.
Personnally....I dont think they will wait until 2013:fie:
I have gazed into the tea leaves...

prediction 1: Israel will attack Iran sometime between now and 20 Jan 2009, setting off a wide conflict in mid east. hopefully, they will all destroy each other and we will finally get a break.
prediction 2: 90 days after obamanation takes office , a major attack will occur on american soil. this will result in Boris being teed off mightily. .....because after all, HE IS ONE OF THEM....
Your tea is a strong bevvy boris!
My cup of rosey-lee hints that a vice may end up being the pres,
I wonder if that would be good or frigging worse,
@ this point I care's very little as it all smells like crap.
Too much, going too bad, 4 too many, ='s back-lash.
BUT WTF do I know? I'm a coffee drinker :jester:


and here I envisioned you imbibing in a cup of Earl Grey and a scone.:drag:

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